Incheon United will host Jeju SK in a K League 1 match.

Incheon’s recent form includes a draw with Gangwon, a 3-0 win over Pohang, and a narrow loss to Ulsan. Jeju SK alternates wins and losses, with two victories, two defeats and one draw in their last five games.

Head-to-head fixtures average over 2.5 goals. Incheon score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game on average, Jeju score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The bookmaker prices over 2.5 goals at 45.7% probability and under at 61.3%. The estimated chance for over 2.5 goals is 48%.

Bookmaker odds imply a 42.6% chance of an Incheon win, 32.4% for Jeju, and 31.9% for a draw. Accounting for home advantage and historical meetings, the projected probabilities are 39% for Incheon, 34% for Jeju, and 27% for a draw.