On Sunday, 1 November, Malmö hosted Hammarby in matchday 26 of the Allsvenskan. The home side took the lead as early as the first minute, but the visitors turned the game around after the break, scoring twice to claim a 2-1 victory. Despite equal possession (50 % – 50 %), Hammarby created far more danger, registering five corners to one and launching 45 dangerous attacks compared with Malmö’s 25, which ultimately proved decisive.

The combined average goals scored in recent matches for both sides is around 2.2, suggesting a 43% chance for the total to exceed 2.5 goals.

Based on the odds 3.9-3.9-1.78, Hammarby’s win probability is estimated at 52%, Malmö’s at 26%, and the draw at 22%.