Sunderland host Brentford in the English League Cup
Sunderland’s recent results include losses to Bournemouth and Brighton/Everton, wins over Torrenense and AZ, and a high-scoring draw with Manchester City. Brentford lost to Liverpool and Chelsea, drew twice with Aston Villa and Bournemouth, and defeated Reading.
The over/under 2.5 line is priced at 1.81 for over and 2.02 for under, suggesting nearly even chances. Both sides average 3.4 goals per game recently, so the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and under at 47%.
With odds of 3.51-3.54-2.12, Brentford are slight favourites. Sunderland’s win probability is 27%, a draw 28%, and Brentford’s win 45%.