Vasas host Paksi SE in matchweek 12 of the Hungarian NB I.

The hosts sit mid-table after alternating wins and losses; the visitors have collected three victories in their last four outings.

Vasas average 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in the last five matches, Paksi 2.4 and 1.6. With the total line at 3.5 and odds 1.86/1.81, the probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 51 %.

Implied probabilities from 2.21-3.72-2.52 are 43 % home win, 27 % draw and 38 % away win. Given Paksi’s four wins in the last five head-to-heads, their chance of taking points rises to 42-44 %.