Angelana will host Recanatese in matchday 25 of Italy’s Serie D.

Angelana’s recent form is fragile: one draw and four defeats in the last five games. The visitors are in similar trouble, losing four of five and conceding 16 goals while scoring seven.

The over/under 2.5 goals line is finely balanced. Bookmakers price the over at 2.09, yet Angelana average just 0.6 goals per game and Recanatese 1.4. Estimated probability: over 48 %, under 52 %.

Home win probability stands at 38 %, draw 34 %, away win 28 %. Odds of 2.65-2.95-2.6 reflect a tight contest with a slight home edge.