On Sunday, 1 November 2026, AFC Malmö hosted Trollhättan in a Swedish Division 1 match and claimed a convincing 5-2 victory. The teams traded goals in the first half, but after the break AFC Malmö struck four times without reply. Despite trailing in possession (38 % vs 62 %) and corners, the hosts created 24 dangerous attacks to the visitors’ 49 and converted their opportunities with clinical finishing. A clean disciplinary record and sharp second-half display secured all three points for the home side.
Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals line at 50.5 %. AFC Malmö’s last five games averaged 4.4 goals, Trollhättan’s 4.6. Based on these figures, the probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 53 %.
The odds 2.01-3.72-2.94 imply probabilities of 49.8 %, 26.9 % and 34.0 %. Taking form and head-to-head data into account, AFC Malmö’s win chance is 46 %, Trollhättan’s 32 %, and a draw 22 %.