Pistoiese hosted USD Castellanese in a Serie D clash and ran out 4-2 winners. All four goals for the hosts came before half-time, giving them a commanding 4-1 lead at the break, while the visitors pulled one back after the interval. Both sides had equal possession, yet Castellanese created more attacking moves and corners. A late red card for the away side ended any hopes of a comeback.

Bookmakers price the 2.5-goal line at 55.9 % probability. Pistoiese averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded; the visitors posted 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. Expect a modest 2–3 goal match.

Odds 1.66-3.7-4.54 translate into 60.2 % home win, 27.0 % draw and 22.0 % away win probabilities.