Oțelul and ACS Sepsi played out a 1-1 draw at the 14th round of Liga 1 in Galați. The hosts enjoyed 54 % possession and earned eight corners to three, but their only goal came from a first-minute penalty. The first half remained goalless, and Sepsi equalised after the break. Both sides picked up few bookings and no red cards. Despite Oțelul’s territorial dominance and set-piece advantage, Sepsi secured a valuable point on the road.

The average number of goals scored by both sides in the last five matches stands at 2.4. The over 2.5 line is priced at 2.27, under 2.5 at 1.58, implying a 56% chance of under 2.5 and 44% for over 2.5.

Odds of 2.32-3.13-3.05 translate into probabilities of 43% for Oțelul, 32% for a draw and 33% for Sepsi. Considering recent form and head-to-head records, Oțelul win is the most likely outcome with an estimated 40% probability.