Ebolitana vs Gravina in the Italian Serie D

Ebolitana have struggled lately, winning just once in their last five matches with two draws and two defeats. Gravina have been steadier, collecting seven points over the same stretch.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 49 % and the under at 59 %. Ebolitana average 0.4 goals per game, Gravina 1.6; given both sides’ modest scoring records, the true probability of over 2.5 goals is closer to 38 %.

Ebolitana’s chance of victory is estimated at 38 %, a draw at 33 %, and Gravina’s win at 29 %.