In a Czech fourth-tier match, Fridek-Mistek II edged Pusta Polom 1-0. The only goal came in the very first minute, and the hosts managed to hold on despite playing with ten men for most of the game. They controlled 51 % of possession and launched 84 dangerous attacks, while the visitors registered more corners (7-5) but failed to convert their opportunities.

The early strike allowed Fridek-Mistek II to adopt a more cautious approach after the break. Pusta Polom pushed forward in search of an equalizer yet could not breach the home defence. Both sides collected two yellow cards, and the hosts’ red card did not alter the outcome. Overall, Fridek-Mistek II dictated the tempo and secured the narrow victory with disciplined defending.

The total line is set at 3.5. Odds of 1.95 and 1.76 give a slight edge to the under. Yet both sides have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five fixtures, so the probability of over 3.5 is estimated at 52 %. The probability of under 3.5 stands at 48 %.

Odds of 2.09 for Frydek-Mistek II, 4.3 for a draw and 2.63 for the visitors indicate a narrow home edge. Given that Frydek-Mistek II scored three or more in four of five recent games and Pusta Polom conceded at least two in all five, the estimated probabilities are 42 % home win, 28 % draw and 30 % away win.