Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional Bogotá in the 14th round of the Colombian Primera A.

Alianza Valledupar recorded two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five games, conceding 12 goals. Internacional Bogotá also collected two wins, two draws and one loss, scoring 8 goals and conceding 5.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 49.8 % and the under at 57.5 %. Alianza average 2.4 goals per match, Internacional 2.6. Expect a three-to-four-goal game.

Implied probabilities from the odds: 42.2 % home win, 32.5 % draw, 33.2 % away win. Adjusting for home advantage and head-to-head data, the realistic forecast is 44 % home, 30 % draw, 26 % away.