Rot-Weiss Essen host Jahn Regensburg in a German 3. Liga fixture.

Essen collected seven points from their last five matches with a steady attacking output, while Regensburg conceded 11 goals but scored 10.

Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals line at even money (2.01). Essen average 1.6 goals per game, Regensburg 2.0. Given that four of the last five head-to-heads produced four or more goals, the probability of over 3.5 is estimated at 55 %.

Odds imply a 64 % chance for an Essen win, 24 % for a draw and 23 % for Regensburg. Adjusting for home advantage and squad depth, the realistic probabilities are 58 % home win, 27 % draw and 15 % away win.