Montevideo Wanderers will host Progreso at their home ground in the next round of the Uruguayan Primera División.

The hosts have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, conceding nine goals. The visitors have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five fixtures, scoring ten goals.

The over 2.5 line is priced at 1.89 and the under at 1.78. The average goals per game over the last five matches stand at 4.8 for Wanderers and 3.8 for Progreso. Probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51 %.

Home win odds are 2.05, draw 3.24, away win 3.24. Taking into account home performance and head-to-head data, the estimated probabilities are 45 % for a Wanderers win, 30 % for a draw and 25 % for a Progreso win.