Matchday 19 of the Women’s Bundesliga: Nürnberg host Bayer.

Nürnberg have lost four of their last five fixtures and conceded twenty goals, exposing defensive frailties. Bayer collected eight points from fifteen and failed to score only once, keeping their attack fluent.

Nürnberg games average 4.6 goals, Bayer’s 3.4. With totals set at 3.5 (2.04 over / 1.67 under), the market assigns a 49 % likelihood to four or more goals.

Odds 8.0 / 5.1 / 1.27 translate to implied probabilities of 11 % / 17 % / 72 %. Considering the class gap and Bayer’s five straight wins in the fixture, visitors are rated at 74 %, hosts at 9 %, draw at 17 %.