NEC will host Groningen in the next round of the Eredivisie.

NEC have gone five matches without a win, recording three draws and two defeats. Groningen secured two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five fixtures.

With the line at 3.5 and odds 2.05 over, 1.81 under, the market is almost balanced. NEC average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded; Groningen 2.4 scored and 2.6 conceded. These figures point to a 52% probability of over 3.5 goals.

Bookmaker odds translate to 43% home win, 25% draw, 36% away win. Adjusted for recent scoring trends, the probabilities become 41% NEC win, 27% draw, 32% Groningen win.