Zawisza Bydgoszcz host Świt Skolwin in round 15 of the Polish II Liga
Zawisza have alternated wins and losses in their last five games, often losing focus at home in the closing stages. Świt Skolwin have been steadier on the road but remain vulnerable to counter-attacks.
Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals line at 46.5%. Zawisza average 2.4 goals per game in their last five matches, Świt Skolwin 2.6. Historical head-to-head encounters have frequently produced three or more goals, raising the estimated probability of over 3.5 to 52%.
The 1.61 odds on a Zawisza win imply a 62% probability, yet the hosts have won only one of the last five meetings. Factoring in current form and historical data, Zawisza’s win probability is assessed at 48%, draw 28%, and Świt Skolwin win 24%.