Inegölspor host Adana 01 in a Turkish second-division fixture.

The hosts have two wins and three defeats in their last five outings, conceding nine goals. The visitors are unbeaten in five, keeping four clean sheets.

The line 2.5 is priced at 60 % probability. Inegölspor average 1.0 goal per game, Adana 01 score 2.0. Four of the last five head-to-heads went over 2.5. Expected total is 2.6 goals, so the over holds value.

Win probability: Inegölspor 23 %, draw 26 %, Adana 01 51 %. The away price of 1.79 implies 56 % chance, aligning with the model.