Al-Riyadh host Al-Taawoun in matchweek 18 of the Saudi Pro League.

Al-Riyadh collected only five points from their last five fixtures, conceding five at Al-Ahli. Al-Taawoun are equally inconsistent: after beating Al-Rayyan they lost to Al-Shabab and dropped points to Al-Qadsiah.

The 2.5-goal line is close to even, yet both sides average fewer than 2.6 goals per game. Al-Riyadh score 0.6 and concede 1.4; Al-Taawoun score 0.8 and concede 1.6. Probability of over 2.5 goals sits at 51 %.

Odds of 3.13–3.53–2.14 point to a modest edge for Al-Taawoun. Adjusting for home/away form and squad depth, the visitors are given a 46 % chance of victory, a draw 28 %, and Al-Riyadh 26 %.