Harkemase Boys will host Excelsior '31 in the Dutch Cup.
Harkemase Boys recently defeated HVV Hollandia 2:1 and Sportlust '46 4:1, yet lost 0:4 to USV Hercules. Excelsior '31 won three straight games, including 4:0 victories over Eemdijk and Staphorst.
Over the last five matches Harkemase Boys scored 9 and conceded 7, Excelsior '31 scored 14 and conceded 5. Average goals in head-to-head games stand at 3.8. With the line set at 3 and odds 1.98 over / 1.90 under, the probability of over 3 goals is 48% and under is 52%.
Bookmaker odds imply a 42% chance of a Harkemase Boys win, 26% draw and 35% Excelsior '31 win. Adjusting for home advantage and the recent 1:0 victory over the visitors, the probabilities shift to 44% home win, 25% draw and 31% away win.