Union Saint-Gilloise will host Cercle Brugge in matchweek 21 of the Belgian Pro League

The hosts have been consistent lately, collecting points both domestically and in Europe, while the visitors alternate wins and defeats without clear stability

The 2,18 odds for over 3,5 goals imply a probability near 46 %. Over the last five fixtures Union averaged 2,0 goals scored and 0,6 conceded; Cercle posted 1,2 and 1,8 respectively. The attacking output of the home side combined with the guests’ defensive lapses makes the over slightly likelier than the under

The 1,32-5,7-8,8 line translates to probabilities of roughly 76 % for a home win, 18 % for a draw and 11 % for an away win. Union’s home record and the head-to-head ledger, where they claimed three victories in the last five meetings, reinforce that assessment