Arsenal versus Everton in the 37th round of the English Premier League.

Arsenal have collected eleven points from their last five matches, including wins over Bayern and Lille. Everton have earned seven points in the same period and remained unbeaten in three of those games, although their scoring output remains modest.

Across the last five fixtures Arsenal averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Everton posted 0.8 for both. With the over 2.5 line priced at 1.92, the likelihood of clearing that total sits near 47-49 %.

The 1.5 quote on an Arsenal win implies a probability of 62-64 %. Everton’s chance of victory at 7.7 equates to roughly 10-12 %, and the draw at 4.57 carries 24-26 % probability.