On Sunday, Istanbul Başakşehir comfortably defeated Samsunspor 4-1 at home. The hosts took a decisive three-goal lead already in the first half and never looked back. With 57 % possession and 37 dangerous attacks against 26, they dictated the tempo and converted six corners to two.

Samsunspor managed only one goal and received a yellow card, but could not change the flow of the match. Istanbul Başakşehir remained in control throughout, underlining their status among the Super Lig frontrunners.

The line sits at 2.5 goals with odds 1.64 over and 2.38 under. Basaksehir scored 8 and conceded 9 in their last five games; Samsunspor scored 3 and conceded 15. Probability of over 2.5 goals is 58%.

Odds: 1.88 home, 4.02 draw, 4.01 away. Given current form and head-to-head trends, Basaksehir win probability is 48%, draw 27%, Samsunspor win 25%.