West Ham United will host Southampton in the 10th round of the English Championship.

West Ham have collected 8 points in their last five games: a 6-0 win over Lincoln, a 3-2 loss to Fulham, a 2-1 defeat to QPR, and draws with Millwall (2-2) and Swansea (1-1). Southampton earned 10 points over the same period: wins against Bristol City (4-1), Portsmouth (1-0) and Norwich (1-0), plus a 2-1 loss to Wrexham and a 0-0 draw with Bolton.

West Ham average 2.8 goals per game, Southampton 2.4. Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals line at 47 % and the under at 53 %. Considering both sides’ defensive vulnerabilities and attacking quality, the probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 49 %.

West Ham’s win probability stands at 59 %, the draw at 23 %, and Southampton’s win at 18 %.