In the Scottish League Cup derby, Hearts and Hibernian produced a tense encounter that ended with a 2-1 victory for the visitors. Hibernian took the lead in the very first minute, and the score remained unchanged at half-time. Despite equal possession, the hosts created more chances, earning nine corners to five and launching 60 attacks to 46. However, one yellow card for Hearts and four for Hibernian did not affect the result. Hearts pulled one back after the break, but could not find an equaliser. The visitors, despite fewer attacks, showed greater finishing efficiency and deservedly took the points from Edinburgh.

Hearts’ last five matches average 3.6 goals, Hibernian’s 2.0. With the over 2.5 line priced at 1.73, the probability of exceeding this total is estimated at 54 %.

Hearts win is likely in 48 %, draw 27 %, Hibernian win 25 %.