RB Leipzig host Elversberg in the German Cup round of 16

RB Leipzig have struggled lately, losing 1:4 to Real Madrid and 0:6 to Bayern, yet remain strong at home. Elversberg alternate wins and losses, lacking consistency this season.

Over the last five matches Leipzig average 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded, while Elversberg average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. With the over 3.5 line priced at 1.78, the probability of the line being exceeded is estimated at 55 %.

The bookmaker offers 1.48 for a home win. Accounting for the quality gap and Leipzig’s home record, the estimated probability of an RB win is 68 %, a draw 20 %, and an Elversberg win 12 %.