Korona Kielce vs Katowice in the Polish Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce have conceded heavily lately, losing 1-6 to Lech, 0-2 to Pogon and 1-5 to Legia, with their only win coming 3-2 against Rakow. Katowice are more consistent, beating KS Wieczysta 2-1 and Cracovia 3-2, though they fell 0-1 to Pogon and 1-4 to Rakow.

The line is set at 2.5 goals with odds 1.61 for over and 2.21 for under. Korona average 2.4 goals per game and Katowice 2.6; the probability of over 2.5 is therefore estimated at 58%.

Odds are 2.05 for Korona, 3.58 for a draw and 3.2 for Katowice. Given home advantage and a head-to-head record with three wins for the hosts, the probabilities are 46% for Korona, 28% for a draw and 26% for Katowice.