Canberra Croatia will host Sutherland Sharks in an Australian Championship match.

Croatia recorded two wins and three defeats in their last five games, including a 1-0 home victory over Queanbeyan and a 4-0 thrashing of Belconnen United. Sutherland Sharks managed one win and four losses, among them defeats to South Melbourne and Manly United.

Croatia average 2.6 goals per game, while Sutherland Sharks concede 1.8. With the over 3.5 line priced at 2.29, bookmakers imply a 44 % probability. Given that three of Croatia’s last five matches exceeded three goals, the chance of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 48 %.

Odds of 3.18 for a Croatia win and 1.97 for a Sutherland Sharks victory translate to implied probabilities of 31 % and 51 %. Considering Sutherland concede 1.4 away and Croatia score 2.3 at home, the probability of a Sharks win is assessed at 49 % and a draw at 20 %.