Fleetwood Town will host Arsenal in an EFL Cup tie.

Fleetwood have been inconsistent: a loss to Cheltenham was followed by wins over Rotherham and Barnsley plus a draw with Walsall. Arsenal remain solid, winning three of their last five, including comfortable victories against Lille and Brighton.

Fleetwood average 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches, Arsenal 2.6. The 3.5-goal line is priced at 1.91 both ways, implying an even 52 % chance for either outcome.

Arsenal’s implied probability of winning stands at 93 %, while Fleetwood’s chance is 4 % and a draw 8 %.