Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 51 % probability (1.95). Given both sides’ moderate scoring records, the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals is assessed at 48 %.

Oliveira do Hospital victory is quoted at 58 % (1.72), the draw at 29 % (3.5) and the away win at 22 % (4.53). Accounting for home advantage and current form, the hosts’ chance of winning is estimated around 55 %.