Genoa will host Juventus in match-week 15 of Serie A.

Genoa collected nine points from their last five fixtures with three wins and two defeats, conceding seven goals. Juventus earned seven points over the same span: two wins and three draws, keeping three clean sheets.

With the line set at 2.5, the odds imply a 47 % chance of over and 53 % of under. Given Genoa’s 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game and Juventus’ 1.0 / 0.8, the likeliest outcome is two goals or fewer.

Odds of 5.61 / 4.02 / 1.70 translate to 18 % / 25 % / 59 %. Adjusting for Genoa’s modest home form (1.2 pts per match) and Juventus’ current rhythm (1.4 pts), the probabilities shift to 22 % / 28 % / 50 %.