Roma host Cagliari in match-week 29 of Serie A.

Roma kept clean sheets against Slovan and Genoa/Milan, yet conceded four against Real Madrid. Cagliari earned three wins in five, mainly against bottom-half sides.

Roma average 2.2 goals per game, Cagliari 1.0. The 2.5 total line at 1.78 implies a 56 % chance of over 2.5 goals.

With odds 1.40 / 5.20 / 9.35, implied probabilities are Roma win 71 %, draw 19 %, Cagliari win 10 %.