With the over 4.5 line priced at 1.69 and under at 2.01, and average goals of 3.4 in Eastern Suburbs’ last five matches against 1.8 for Southern United, the probability of over 4.5 goals stands at 48 % while under 4.5 is 52 %.

The odds of 1.05 for an Eastern Suburbs Auckland win, 12 for a draw and 23 for a Southern United Dunedin victory translate to an estimated 92 % chance of a home win, 7 % for a draw and 1 % for an away win.