BFA Vilnius host Minija Kretinga in a Lithuanian First League fixture.

BFA Vilnius have collected one point from their last three matches and failed to score in any of them. Minija Kretinga have won three of their last five, but conceded three or more goals in three of those games.

The total line sits at 2.5 with odds 1.75 over and 2.10 under. BFA average 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded in their last five; Minija average 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. Based on these figures and bookmaker pricing, the probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 54 %.

Odds read 4.74 for a home win, 3.65 for a draw and 1.65 for an away win. Accounting for recent results and attacking output, the probability of a BFA victory is estimated at 18 %, a draw at 24 % and a Minija victory at 58 %.