VPS host Inter Turku in Matchday 9 of the Finnish Veikkausliiga.

VPS have collected just one win from their last five outings, losing 0-2 to KuPS/Haka/TPS and 0-6 to HJK. Inter Turku have been steadier, posting three wins, one draw and one defeat, including a 1-0 shut-out of KuPS/Haka/TPS.

Average goals per game in the last five fixtures stand at 1.8 for VPS and 1.6 for Inter Turku. With both over and under 2.5 priced at 1.87, the probability of clearing the line is assessed at 48 %, while the under is slightly likelier at 52 %.

Odds of 4.52-3.74-1.72 translate into implied probabilities of 21-25-54 %. Factoring in current form and squad depth, Inter Turku’s win chance rises to 56 %, the draw sits at 27 % and VPS win probability is 17 %.