Chesterfield host Gillingham in round 20 of League Two

Chesterfield’s last five games brought one win, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Gillingham earned just one point from five outings, losing three and drawing two, while scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.0 per match.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 49.8 % implied probability and the under at 55.6 %. Chesterfield average 1.6 goals per game overall, Gillingham 2.6; the over therefore carries an estimated 52 % chance.

A home win is priced at 63.3 % probability, the draw at 26.2 % and an away win at 17.3 %. Accounting for home advantage, Chesterfield’s realistic chance of victory is around 60 %.