Manchester City will host Stoke City in the English Premier League 2.

Manchester City’s recent form is inconsistent: losses 2:4 and 1:2, victories 4:0 and 4:1. Stoke City lost three of their last five matches, earning points in only two games.

Bookmakers price the over 4.5 goals at 46 % and the under at 64 %. Manchester City’s last five matches average 5.2 goals, Stoke City’s 3.4. Given City’s tendency toward high-scoring games, the probability of over 4.5 goals is estimated at 58 %.

Bookmakers assess Manchester City’s win probability at 84 %, draw at 17 %, and Stoke City’s win at 10 %. Accounting for the gap in class and current form, City’s win chance is 78 %, draw 15 %, and visitors’ win 7 %.