Chapecoense and Fluminense RJ will face each other in matchweek 17 of the Brazilian Série A.

Chapecoense’s recent form is uneven: draws with Atlético Mineiro and Atlético Nacional, defeats to Vitória and Atlético Paranaense. Fluminense have a similar pattern: a win over Coritiba and losses to Santos, Palmeiras and Flamengo.

Average goals in the last five matches: 2.2 for the hosts, 3.0 for the visitors. Bookmakers set the line at 2.5 with odds 1.87/1.97. The match is likely to see 2–3 goals (probability 51 %).

Odds 4.08/3.67/1.91 suggest Fluminense are favourites. Estimated probabilities: visitors win 48 %, home win 23 %, draw 29 %.