In a Torneo Federal A clash, Alvarado Mar del Plata fell 1-2 to Sportivo Las Parejas. The visitors struck first in the opening half, and the hosts managed to reply only late on. Despite enjoying a slight edge in possession and more corners, Alvarado could not turn the game around. Sportivo Las Parejas looked sharper in attack and held on for the three points.

The 1.5-goal line implies a 66 % chance for over and 43 % for under. With Alvarado averaging 1.0 goal per game and Sportivo 1.2, plus five overs in the last ten combined fixtures, the probability of over 1.5 is estimated at 58 %.

Odds of 1.53–3.3–6.54 highlight the hosts’ dominance. Considering Alvarado’s home form and three wins in the last five head-to-heads, their win probability is 62 %, a draw 25 %, and Sportivo’s win 13 %.