With a total line of 2.5 the over is priced at 2.18 and the under at 1.58. The five previous head-to-head matches averaged 3.4 goals. Given Salgueiros scoring 0.8 per game and UD Sousense conceding 2.2, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58 %.

Odds of 3.77-3.13-1.91 reflect a slight edge for Salgueiros. With 7 points versus 4 and three wins in five direct clashes, the visitors’ win probability stands at 49 %, a draw at 26 % and a home win at 25 %.