In a Serie C clash, Cittadella narrowly defeated Treviso at home. The only goal of the match came in the very first minute, and the hosts managed to hold on to their slender lead until the final whistle. Despite the low-scoring nature, Cittadella looked the more dangerous side, registering 51 % possession and 73 dangerous attacks compared to 53 for the visitors. They also created more set-piece opportunities, winning three corners to one. Treviso adopted a more physical approach, picking up two yellow cards to Cittadella’s one.

Cittadella average 2.8 goals per game over five matches, Treviso 1.8. With over 2.5 priced at 2.04 and under at 1.67, the chance of exceeding 2.5 goals is 45%, while staying below 2.5 is 55%.

Odds 1.73–3.34–4.32 favor the hosts. Probability: Cittadella win 52%, draw 28%, Treviso win 20%.