Atletico Nacional Medellin versus Deportivo Pasto in the Colombian Primera A

Nacional recorded three wins and two draws in their last five outings, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Pasto managed only one win, kept three clean sheets, and conceded an average of 1.2 goals.

The 2.5 total line is offered at 1.65 for over and 2.14 for under. With Nacional averaging roughly 3.0 goals per match and Pasto around 1.4, the probability of over 2.5 is estimated at 52%.

Odds of 1.25 on a home win translate to an implied probability near 72%, 5.1 on a draw suggests 18%, and 12 on an away win implies 10%. Based on current form and head-to-head trends, Nacional’s victory remains the most probable outcome at 68-72%.