Jagiellonia host Wisla Plock in matchday three of the Polish Ekstraklasa.

Jagiellonia collected seven points from their last five outings, yet conceded two or three goals in three of them. Wisla Plock won four of five, keeping clean sheets twice and losing only once by a wide margin.

Four of Jagiellonia’s last five matches and three of Wisla Plock’s featured at least three goals. With the over-2.5 line priced at 1.63, the probability of clearing the total is assessed at 61-63 %.

Odds of 1.97 imply a 51 % chance for Jagiellonia, 28 % for a draw and 29 % for Wisla Plock. Factoring in home advantage and the hosts’ higher scoring rate, their win probability is placed at 48-50 %.