On Sunday evening at the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Sevilla will host Osasuna in match-week 28 of La Liga.

The hosts, winless in their last three league games, are looking for a reaction. Across their previous five fixtures they have conceded 14 goals, and in two recent home outings they failed to collect a single point. The visitors have gone three matches unbeaten, yet their attack remains blunt, scoring one goal or fewer in four of their last five encounters.

The total line sits at 2.5 goals. Sevilla average 1.4 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game, while Osasuna post 1.0 and 2.2 respectively. On these numbers, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 48 %, and the probability of under 2.5 goals is 52 %.

Odds of 2.02-3.60-4.11 suggest a modest edge for the home side. Factoring in recent form, Sevilla’s chance of victory is estimated at 44 %, a draw at 29 %, and Osasuna’s chance of an away win at 27 %.