Modena host Cesena in a Serie B fixture.

The hosts have alternated wins against Verona and Empoli with losses to Carrarese and Avellino. The visitors are on a run of draws, failing to win any of their last five matches.

The match is likely to finish over 2.5 goals. Modena average 1.8 goals scored in recent games, Cesena 1.2. The 1.67 odds on the over suggest bookmakers expect an open encounter.

Modena’s win probability is estimated at 65 %, draw at 23 % and Cesena’s victory at 12 %. Odds and head-to-head data point to a clear home advantage.