In a Group 1 RFEF Segunda División clash, Amorebieta edged Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-0. The only goal came in the very first minute, and the hosts protected their slender lead until the final whistle. They dominated possession with 65 %, converted both penalties awarded and earned ten corners compared to just one for the visitors.

Amorebieta created the lion’s share of danger, registering 71 dangerous attacks to 21. The away side picked up five yellow cards and finished with ten men after a red card, making a comeback almost impossible. Despite a goalless first half, the home team kept a clean sheet and secured all three points.

The average goals scored in recent matches between the sides is 2.8. The bookmaker’s line of 2.5 goals at 1.61 implies a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Odds of 1.32 for an Amorebieta win, 4.5 for a draw and 7.9 for a Gimnástica victory translate into probabilities of 76%, 22% and 13% respectively.