In a New Zealand Women’s Championship match, Wellington Phoenix II fell 0-3 to Auckland United. The visitors scored in the first minute and led 1-0 at half-time. In the second half, Auckland added to their lead and secured a comfortable win. Wellington held 36 % of possession compared with 64 % for the visitors and managed only one corner against Auckland’s eleven. Auckland created more attacks and dominated throughout the game.

Wellington average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match, while Auckland average 2.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. With the total line at 3.5, the over is priced at 1.58 versus 2.18 for the under, suggesting around a 60% chance the match exceeds 3.5 goals.

Auckland United are quoted at 1.05 to win. Given their strong form and five straight victories over Wellington Phoenix II in head-to-head meetings, their win probability is estimated at 90%. The hosts’ chance of victory is around 5%, and a draw also sits near 5%.