Alemannia edged Preußen 2-1 at home in Germany’s third tier. Two first-half goals gave the hosts a commanding lead that proved decisive. The visitors pulled one back after the break, yet could not find an equaliser. Possession was almost even (51 %–49 %), while Alemannia created 56 dangerous attacks to 54. Preußen won six corners to five, but a red card and three yellows in the second half left them short-handed and unable to turn the tide.

With an average of 3.6 goals per game across the last ten matches of both sides, the bookmakers’ line sits at 2.5. The chance of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55 %.

Odds of 1.80-3.70-3.58 translate into a 49 % probability of an Alemannia win, 24 % for a draw and 27 % for a Preußen victory.