Atletico Junior will host Aguilas Doradas in the Colombian Primera A.

Junior’s last five games ended 0:0, 1:1, 2:2, 3:1 and 2:0 – all without a win. Aguilas Doradas recorded 2:1, 1:1, 2:2, 2:0 and 2:0, mixing wins and draws.

Bookmaker odds for over/under 2.5 goals are almost identical: 1.83 vs 1.89. Junior average 1.2 goals scored and conceded; Aguilas 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded. The data suggests a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Odds 1.78 – 3.6 – 4.16 reflect home advantage. Junior won three of the last five head-to-head matches. Estimated probabilities: home win 53%, draw 27%, away win 20%.