Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 45 % and the under at 63 %. Mornar average 2.8 goals per game, Petrovac 1.4. Considering form and odds, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48 %.
Odds imply win probabilities of 49 % for Mornar, 33 % for a draw and 27 % for Petrovac. Adjusting for current form and head-to-head data, the estimated chances are 51 % home win, 31 % draw and 18 % away win.