Samsunspor host Amedspor in matchday 23 of the Turkish Süper Lig.

Samsunspor’s recent form is mixed: after five rounds the side has suffered defeats to Kasımpaşa (1:4) and Trabzonspor (0:3) and also lost to Çorum Belediyespor (1:5). Amedspor have been steadier, recording two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five outings.

The over/under 2.5 lines are priced almost identically (1.93 for over, 1.95 for under), suggesting a near-even split. Samsunspor average 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in the last five matches, while Amedspor average 2.2 and 1.4 respectively; therefore the probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 48% and under 2.5 at 52%.

The away win is offered at 2.39 compared with 3.00 for the hosts, reflecting current form. The estimated probabilities are Samsunspor win 32%, Amedspor win 41% and draw 27%.